OHA reports 24 new COVID deaths; modeling shows dip in cases, hospitalizations

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There are 24 new COVID-19 related deaths in Oregon, raising the state’s death toll to 3,815, the Oregon Health Authority reported Friday.

Oregon’s 3,800th COVID-19 related death is an 80-year-old man from Crook County who died on Sept. 14 at his residence. The date of positive test is being confirmed. He had underlying conditions.

The OHA reported 1,686 new confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19, bringing the state total to 331,709.

The new confirmed and presumptive COVID-19 cases reported today are in the following counties: Baker (13), Benton (29), Clackamas (56), Clatsop (12), Columbia (26), Coos (33), Crook (43), Curry (5), Deschutes (145), Douglas (35), Harney (21), Hood River (14), Jackson (72), Jefferson (14), Josephine (42), Klamath (96), Lake (14), Lane (153), Lincoln (18), Linn (81), Malheur (26), Marion (168), Morrow (10), Multnomah (174), Polk (74), Sherman (1), Tillamook (6), Umatilla (60), Union (15), Wallowa (4), Wasco (21), Washington (131) and Yamhill (74).

Newest COVID-19 modeling report projects decrease in daily cases and hospitalizations

Today, OHA released its latest COVID-19 forecast showing a continued decline in daily cases and hospitalizations through mid-October.

According to the report, the effective reproduction rate — the expected number of secondary cases that a single case generates — was estimated at .81 on Sept. 15, which is lower than last week’s projection.

At that level of transmission, the report estimates 320 cases per 100,000 people, or an average of 955 daily cases and 56 hospitalizations for the two-week period between Oct. 6 and Oct. 19.

The modeling report also estimated the potential impact of a 20% increase in transmission.

Under that scenario, the pace of declining newly diagnosed cases and hospitalizations would slow considerably, with an estimated average of 505 per 100,000 people, projecting an estimated average of 1,515 new cases and 94 hospitalizations over the same period.

The report also indicated that hospitals across the state are seeing declines in COVID-19 hospitalizations. However, COVID-19 bed occupancy levels remain higher than during previous surges.

The report also noted a slow increase in high-risk behaviors and protocol fatigue.

Vaccinations remain the most effective shield against COVID-19. Oregonians should wear masks when in indoor public spaces and when outdoors among crowds.

This week’s model shows that mask-wearing recommendations and requirements have correlated with declines in the number of new cases reported each day and in hospitalizations.

COVID-19 hospitalizations

St. Charles on Friday reported it had 72 COVID patients; seven are in the ICU and six are on ventilators.

Of those 72 patients, 58 are not fully vaccinated.

The number of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 across Oregon is 792, which is 24 fewer than yesterday. There are 223 COVID-19 patients in intensive care unit (ICU) beds, which is eight fewer than yesterday.

There are 49 available adult ICU beds out of 696 total (7% availability) and 320 available adult non-ICU beds out of 4,234 (8% availability).

10/1/2021 Available Beds (and Percentage of Staffed Beds Available)
  Statewide Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 9
Adult ICU beds available 49 (7%) 26 (7%) 0 (0%) 7 (8%) 8 (14%) 1 (10%) 3 (6%) 4 (16%)
Adult non-ICU beds available 320 (8%) 65 (3%) 18 (3%) 115 (18%) 37 (8%) 5 (11%) 41 (10%) 39 (34%)

The total number of patients in hospital beds may fluctuate between report times. The numbers do not reflect admissions per day, nor the length of hospital stay. Staffing limitations are not captured in this data and may further limit bed capacity. 

Note: Please do not visit an emergency department for COVID-19 testing, unless you require emergency care for your symptoms.

Emergency departments in Oregon are under significant strain responding to the current surge in COVID-19. You can find a test here.

If you have a medical condition that doesn’t require emergency care, contact your provider. An urgent care center may also help you get the care you need and will save emergency departments from added strain.

More information about hospital capacity can be found here.

Vaccinations in Oregon

Today, OHA reported that 11,910 new doses of COVID-19 vaccinations were added to the state immunization registry on Sept. 30.  Of this total, 7,349 were administered on Sept. 30: 1,548 were initial doses, 1,909 were second doses and 3,854 were third doses. The remaining 4,561 were administered on previous days but were entered into the vaccine registry on Sept. 30.

The seven-day running average is now 7,664 doses per day.

Oregon has now administered 2,995,497 doses of Pfizer Comirnaty, 1,906,569 doses of Moderna and 215,764 doses of Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines.

As of today, 2,740,304 people have had at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine and 2,512,384 people have completed a COVID-19 vaccine series.

These data are preliminary and subject to change.

Updated vaccination data are provided on Oregon’s COVID-19 data dashboards and have been updated today.

Dashboard updated for tracking boosters and third doses

Current and historical third doses were added to the Oregon COVID-19 Vaccine Daily Update dashboard on Sept. 9. A third dose is specifically for those who are immunocompromised and may not have built up adequate protective immunity with their first series of vaccines. Only Moderna and Pfizer COVID-19 vaccines are recommended for third doses at this time.

Current booster shots were added to the same dashboard today. A booster shot is for people whose immunity may be fading after they complete their first vaccination series. Only the Pfizer Comirnaty vaccine is authorized for boosters at this time. Booster doses are recommended for people age 65 and older, those at risk of severe COVID-19 disease and people age 18-64 who are at risk of increased SARS-CoV-2 virus exposure or transmission because of where they work or live.

Historical booster doses will be incorporated soon. Third doses and booster doses are currently reported together.

 

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